Early indications from the H-1B cap lottery for fiscal year 2027 show a significant increase in selection rates, rising to 58% compared to 35% in fiscal year 2026. This change suggests a notable decrease in the total number of H-1B lottery registrations, according to immigration attorney Vic Goel.
Key Details:
- FY2027 selection rate: 58%
- FY2026 selection rate: 35%
- Possible reasons for decreased registrations include increased fees and regulatory changes.
- A new $100K fee for H-1B candidates outside the U.S. took effect in September 2025.
The increase in selection rates may be influenced by a growing perception among employers that navigating the legal immigration system for skilled workers is becoming more challenging and unpredictable. Factors such as the introduction of a wage-weighted lottery and a recent regulation revisiting prevailing wage methodologies are contributing to this shift. As a result, employers may be reconsidering their participation in H-1B sponsorship, which could have long-term implications for the skilled workforce in the U.S.
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Source: Vic Goel