The latest data indicates that the EB-1 visa category may have between 50,000 to 53,000 visas available for fiscal year 2026, thanks to an estimated family-based spillover of 35,000 to 45,000 visas from fiscal year 2025. This information is derived from the I-485 pending inventory as of January 2, 2026, and reflects trends in immigrant visa issuances at consulates.
Key Details:
- Estimated EB-1 visa availability: 50,000 to 53,000 for FY 2026.
- Projected family-based spillover: 35,000 to 45,000 visas.
- Data source: USCIS I-485 inventory and Department of State monthly visa statistics.
- Final Action Dates for backlogged countries like India and China have moved forward by about two months.
The analysis suggests that demand may already exceed this year’s allocation, raising questions about the reliability of predictions based solely on available data. The Department of State is expected to release annual statistics for FY 2025 around July or August, which may clarify the spillover situation further.
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Source: r/eb_1a